Liverpool’s reported interest in Kees Smit (the “new Pedri”), and how likely they are to win the race 👇

Why the link to Liverpool makes sense

Liverpool are reportedly “considering a serious bid” for Smit when the January window opens.

Their manager, Arne Slot — who previously worked at Smit’s club AZ Alkmaar — is said to have “admired him for years.” That connection could give the Reds an advantage in negotiations.

Smit fits what Liverpool often look for: a technically gifted, versatile midfielder, comfortable linking play, creating chances and contributing in both deep and advanced roles. His playing style has drawn comparisons to Pedri.

What’s complicating the race

Smit is no longer an “unknown” — several top European clubs are circling, including Real Madrid, FC Barcelona and Newcastle United. That increases competition.

His current club AZ value him highly. Reports suggest a club-record sale fee will be required if anyone wants to sign him — somewhere around €25 million (≈ £22 million).

Smit reportedly has a contract with AZ until 2028, meaning AZ is in a strong negotiating position and doesn’t have to sell unless the price is right.

🧠 Does Liverpool really have the edge?

Yes — potentially. Here’s why:

The Arne Slot connection gives Liverpool insider advantage — familiarity with the club and the player. That can matter a lot, especially when a young talent is deciding between multiple suitors.

The Reds’ current squad includes several Dutch players, which could help Smit settle easily. Club structure and existing teammates might make Anfield more appealing than elsewhere.

For AZ, a bid over the club record fee might trigger the trigger price. If Liverpool decide to go all in and meet that valuation, they wouldn’t necessarily need to out-bid every contender.

That said — there are no guarantees. Big clubs like Real Madrid or Barcelona might still swoop in if they decide Smit is worth the gamble.

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✅ My Take: Realistic Chance of a Move, but Battle Won’t Be Easy

Liverpool absolutely have a realistic shot — Slot’s backing, current squad setup, and willingness to spend make them a credible contender. But this is not a done deal: there’s stiff competition, and AZ are in no rush to sell cheaply.

If I were to put odds: Liverpool have maybe a 30–40% chance to land Smit, with Real Madrid / Barcelona / Newcastle collectively having somewhere around 50–60%, depending on how willing each is to pay the valuation and offer first-team playing time.

If you like — I can pull up a full “top 5 clubs” list currently targeting Kees Smit, with estimated chances for each. Could help visualise who else might spoil the deal for Liverpool.